Will Russia Sanctions spark cyber conflicts elsewhere?

As I work to try and catch up, the question on whether cyber attacks are evident becomes more plain to me.

On Sunday, we had the apparent attack on McDonalds. It has not been confirmed by the burger joint, but we do know that a ransom is being asked for.

Tech blog post

With that, it definitely is evident to me that we could possibly see more attacks, but I don’t know where or when or even if they’ll occur.

Taking from the article now, the first paragraph from this story which is several days old, it says:

President Biden joined European leaders this week in enacting economic sanctions against Russia in response to its invasion of Ukraine. The West has promised tougher sanctions are coming, but experts warn these will almost certainly trigger a Russian retaliation against America and its allies, which could escalate into cyber attacks on Western financial institutions and energy infrastructure.

According to the article which comes from Krebs on Security, Michael Daniels worked with Obama and he now heads the Cyber Threat Alliance organization.

In one of the rooms which delbt with the glossary of terms in Cybersecurity, spillover was talked about. Here is that paragraph.

The first involves what Daniel called “spillover and collateral damage” — a global malware contagion akin to a NotPeyta event — basically some type of cyber weapon that has self-propagating capabilities and may even leverage a previously unknown security flaw in a widely-used piece of hardware or software.

Not Petya was a large scale cyber attack that was done in 2017.

Wikipedia link

I believe the technology podcast talked about this then, and you can search this blog for it.

I believe we’ve seen interfeerence for a number of years, depending on the situation. The very next paragraph says:

“The second level [is that] in retaliation for sanctions or perceived interference, Russia steps up more direct attacks on Western organizations,” Daniel said. “The Russians have shown themselves to be incredibly ingenious and creative in terms of how they come up with targets that seem to catch us by surprise. If the situation escalates in cyberspace, there could be some unanticipated organizations that end up in the crosshairs.”

I’m wondering if they did this with the apparent McDonalds breach? Was that a ploy for a bigger picture that Russia has in mind?

Like I said on Sunday’s show, targeting innocent businesses is not what I would do. If I were mad at a nation and I had these capabilities, I’d be going after those I’d be mad at.

If that means that I’m mad at the president for these sanctions, I would have to go after the systems he would be using, like the white house and their infrastructure, figuring out where I could possibly do other things if necessary and out of the scope of the blog, or even do something else with the president’s infrastructure at home.

I would not want to go after some innocent company like McDonalds who has done nothing wrong.

Since Conti is supporting Russia, I could see them supporting me if I were the president of Russia and I did what I thought we should do. Here are my thoughts on Conti that I wrote then with a link to an article.

Ukraine has long been used as the testing grounds for Russian offensive hacking capabilities targeting power infrastructure. State-backed Russian hackers have been blamed for the Dec. 23, 2015 cyberattack on Ukraine’s power grid that left 230,000 customers shivering in the dark.

Like I’ve said for awhile now, and I even said this in public clubhouse rooms, I don’t trust Russia. I don’t even trust China, but maybe I’d trust them more since they haven’t to my knowledge blatently gone after infrastructure and left people in the cold or potentially killed anyone.

That haunting prophecy is ringing anew as European leaders work on hammering out additional sanctions, which the European Commission president says will restrict the Russian economy’s ability to function by starving it of important technology and access to finance.

A draft of the new penalties obtained by The New York Times would see the European Union ban the export of aircraft and spare parts that are necessary for the maintenance of Russian fleets.

There are more links available, through the main article which is titled Russia Sanctions May Spark Escalating Cyber Conflict and if you think we’re done with what has happened in the past, I think we’re only getting started with this massive war and its cyber implications.

Your thoughts are more than welcome.


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